A most unexpected and interesting development has happened in the Eastern Conference to shake up the playoff picture. Some of the strongest teams this season have started to falter. The Islanders have had a 3-7-0 record from March 19th, which cost Patrick Roy his job as head coach after NYI fell completely out of the playoff picture. The Blue Jackets did their part to hold the door open for others to catch up, posting a 1-6-1 record since March 22nd.
The Washington Capitals were looking like they could be that surprise team, especially after this past Tuesday when the Caps defeated the Flyers 6-4 to mark their third straight win and put themselves in a surprisingly strong position to make a late run at things. That run stopped rather suddenly with losses to New Jersey (7-3) on Thursday and then last night to the Rangers with an 8-1 score that punts on the season.
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That left an unlikely team to walk through the door opened up by the Islanders and Blue Jackets faltering. And it was those Flyers who have done just that. Despite the loss to Washington on Tuesday, Philadelphia was 8-1-1 in their previous 10 games before that, quietly sneaking back into the picture as the trouble started on Long Island and in Columbus. That strong March gave Philadelphia the juice to pop up and defeat NYI on Friday night to create a big change in the standings. The Flyers would follow it up with a 2-1 OT win against Boston that featured Porter Martone’s first career goal as the game winner.
Suddenly, the battle of Pennsylvania could add another chapter in the 2026 playoffs.
The stunning turnaround of the Flyers could be represented from the Hockeystats.com model where Philadelphia had 32% odds of making the playoffs after their loss to Washington on Tuesday. Just a few days and two games later, it now sits at 60%. The Islanders are in big trouble after regulation losses last week to Pittsburgh and the Flyers. The Detroit Red Wings keep slip sliding away from a playoff berth too with Ottawa coming on in the Atlantic and Wild Card race.
The last week shows, to an extreme, just how much fortunes can rise and fall at the end of the season. It’s hard to imagine that just one week ago today entering Monday’s game, the Islanders (89) had more points than the Penguins (88), though NYI did play one more game. Fast forward just a few days and the Islanders still have 89 points — and now a new coach after a disastrous spell that saw losses to Pittsburgh, Buffalo, Philadelphia and Carolina that still leave them with 89 points entering this week.
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The Penguins, on the other hand, have all but sewed up their spot in the 2026 playoffs courtesy of picking up eight points in the last five games with the win over NYI, Detroit and a pair of lopsided victories over Florida.
Will the next week hold as much drama? NYI doesn’t play again until Thursday, they’ll have home games against Toronto, Ottawa and Montreal in the next week. The hiring of Peter Deboer could shake things up and try to get them out of their funk to make a desperate five-game run at Philadelphia. For their part, the Flyers play road games this week starting at New Jersey on Tuesday and then go to Detroit on Thursday and Winnipeg on Saturday. If the Flyers can grab two wins out of those games then the pressure for NYI to basically win out will be in play, given that Philadelphia is a point ahead and gets their game in hand on Tuesday to push their margin out even further.
The other team in the mix, Columbus, needs to start winning. They play Tuesday in Detroit, then Thursday in Buffalo and Saturday in Montreal. They sit two points behind Philadelphia, though CBJ should have the first tiebreaker by virtue of a 27-24 regulation win advantage. The Blue Jackets need some help from the Devils and Red Wings to stop Philadelphia, after CBJ plays a near must-win game against Detroit tomorrow night.
For the Pens, the last week couldn’t have gone any better. The teams in best position to challenge them for the second spot (NYI, CBJ) have continued to fall apart late in the season. Pittsburgh is six points up on Philadelphia, with the Flyers having played one less game, leaving the Pens in an excellent spot with five games remaining to chug along towards locking up home ice advantage for the first round.
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The season may yet have more twists and turns to see between Philadelphia, NYI and Columbus will grab third place in the division even though recent momentum is surging towards seeing the first Penguins/Flyers playoff series since 2018.
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