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We have a busy Saturday across the big leagues, and that means lots of opportunities for baseballs to leave the yard.
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My MLB player props and home run analysis will include Aaron Judge and Ian Happ.
Read all about it in my MLB picks for Saturday, April 18.
Best MLB home run props today
|
Player to hit a HR |
Odds |
|---|---|
|
Aaron Judge |
+220 |
|
Ian Happ |
+590 |
Aaron Judge (+220)
Aaron Judge may be hitting just .240, but his power numbers are already heading in the right direction.
The reigning AL MVP has clubbed eight home runs in 20 games. He’s gone deep in two of his last three contests, and although he was kept in the yard on Friday, Judge still smacked a double.
The New York Yankees face the Kansas City Royals again today, and Judge will face Noah Cameron. He’s 1-for-3 against the left-hander with a long ball.
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Cameron has surrendered two homers already, and Judge has gone deep four times off southpaws in 2026.
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Where to watch: Royals.TV, YES
Ian Happ (+590)
Ian Happ is a player with pop in his bat, going deep 20+ times in each of the last three seasons. He’s on track for a fourth in ‘26, clubbing five home runs through the first few weeks.
Happ will be looking forward to today’s matchup against New York Mets righty Freddy Peralta.
While he’s only 4-for-37 off Peralta, three of those hits have been bombs. He left Wrigley in the series opener on Friday, and Happ has three homers off right-handed pitchers.
Peralta has had trouble with the long ball too, surrendering three in just four starts.
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Where to watch: SNY, MARQ
Quinn Allen’s 2026 Transparency Record
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HR picks: 4-17, -2.32 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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