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The Montreal Canadiens look to take a commanding 3-1 lead in Game 4 tonight, while the visiting Tampa Bay Lightning aim to even up the series.
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Nick Suzuki was Montreal’s best playmaker in the regular season, and that trend has continued into the playoffs.
My Lightning vs Canadiens predictions and NHL picks break down why the Habs captain will pick up another assist on Sunday, April 26.
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UPDATE: Added a prediction for who will win tonight.
Lightning vs Canadiens Game 4 prediction
Who will win Lightning vs Canadiens Game 4?
Montreal: The Canadiens outplayed the Lightning in Game 3, outshooting them 29-17 en route to another dramatic overtime win.
Fueled by the energy at the Bell Centre, the Habs will take a 3-1 series lead tonight. The series has been close, but Montreal has dominated this matchup this season, going 4-0-1 in the last five meetings dating back to March.
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Lightning vs Canadiens best bet: Nick Suzuki Over 0.5 assists (-160)
After finishing the regular season with 72 assists — good for fifth in the NHL — Nick Suzuki has picked up right where he left off with three helpers through the first three games of the postseason.
The Montreal Canadiens captain logged at least one assist in Games 1 and 2, but was held off the score sheet in Game 3 despite playing more than 21 minutes.
Montreal’s power play was uncharacteristically bad in Game 3, with no goals on four opportunities. That should change in Game 4, and Suzuki will collect another assist.
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Lightning vs Canadiens Game 4 same-game parlay
I’m picking Suzuki and the Canadiens to win, but it’s hard to deny how good Brandon Hagel has been for the Lightning.
Hagel’s four goals are tied for the league lead so far this postseason, while the Lightning forward has collected at least one point in all three games so far, averaging nearly 25 minutes on ice per contest.
Lightning vs Canadiens SGP
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Nick Suzuki Over 0.5 assists
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Brandon Hagel Over 0.5 points
Lightning vs Canadiens Game 4 goal scorer pick
Juraf Slafkovsky (+170)
Juraj Slafkovsky came out hot with a hat trick and seven shots in Game 1, but the Habs winger has been relatively quiet since then, recording just three total shots and no points over his last two outings.
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Slafkovsky has always been a clutch performer, and he’ll come through again tonight in Game 4 when the Habs need him most.
Lightning vs Canadiens odds for Game 4
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Moneyline: Lightning -115 | Canadiens -105
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Puck Line: Lightning -1.5 (+215) | Canadiens +1.5 (-270)
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Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-130) | Under 5.5 (+110)
Lightning vs Canadiens trend
The Lightning have cashed the Under in nine of their last 13 games for +4.6 units and a 32% ROI. Find more NHL betting trends for Lightning vs. Canadiens.
How to watch Lightning vs Canadiens Game 4
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Location |
Bell Centre, Montreal, QC |
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Date |
Sunday, April 26 2026 |
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Puck drop |
7:00 p.m. ET |
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TV |
ESPN, CBC |
Lightning vs Canadiens latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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