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The Denver Nuggets are on a five-game win streak and welcome the injury-riddled Golden State Warriors to town on Sunday, March 29.

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Our NBA player prop projections have you covered with high-value NBA picks for this matchup.

If you want deeper analysis, look no further than our Warriors vs. Nuggets predictions.

Warriors vs Nuggets computer picks for March 29

Warriors

Nuggets

Green o8.5 points
-105

Watson u11.5 points
-110

Santos o4.5 rebounds 
-150

Jokic o1.5 threes 
+115

Porzingis o19.5 points
-115

Murray o23.5 points
-112

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Warriors computer picks

Draymond Green Over 8.5 points (-105)

Projection: 11.2 points

This is a five-star play according to our projections, with the numbers expecting Draymond Green to reach double digits. Both the Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets rank in the Top 10 in pace over the last five games, meaning plenty of extra possessions.

With no Steph in the lineup, Draymond hasn’t shied away from taking a few extra shots to help his team win.

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Gui Santos Over 4.5 rebounds (-150)

Projection: 6.7 rebounds

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This is another five-star play for tonight’s matchup, with Gui Santos looking to crash the glass for the Dubs. Missing bodies have opened up minutes for Santos, and he’s put those minutes to good use.

He’s started back-to-back games and has seen 30+ minutes of action in three straight outings. With so much floor time, he can corral five boards.

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Kristaps Porzingis Over 19.5 points (-115)

Projection: 21.4 points

Kristaps Porzingis has been balling for the Dubs in recent outings and is coming off a 28-point performance over Washington. The stretch big is finally starting to find his rhythm with Golden State, and 20 points is a very attainable number.

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Nuggets computer picks

Peyton Watson Under 11.5 points (-110)

Projection: 9.9 points

Peyton Watson is coming off a miserable shooting performance, and our projections expect that to continue. The 23-year-old only went for 10 points in his last meeting against the Dubs, and they’ll do enough to contain him again tonight.

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Nikola Jokic Over 1.5 threes (+115)

Projection: 1.9 threes

Nikola Jokic has hit two or more threes in five of his last 10 games, and the Nuggets are the most efficient 3-point shooting team this season. Jokic will have no problem firing away against this mediocre Golden State defense.

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Jamal Murray Over 23.5 points (-112)

Projection: 24.8 points

Not many players are hotter than Jamal Murray, who is scoring 31.6 points per game over his last five outings. Murray is in the midst of a career year, and the injury-riddled Warriors don’t have anyone to slow down the Denver PG.

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How to watch Warriors vs Nuggets tonight

Location

Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Date

Sunday, March 29, 2026

Tip-off

10:00 p.m. ET

TV

NBC

Not intended for use in MA.
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