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Both the Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors have lost three straight games, but one Western Conference squad will get back on track with a victory at Chase Center tonight.
Anthony Edwards is one of the NBA’s most effective scorers on the road, and my Timberwolves vs. Warriors predictions expect him to rack up points in the Bay.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this Western Conference showdown on Friday, March 13.
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Timberwolves vs Warriors prediction
Timberwolves vs Warriors best bet: Anthony Edwards Over 29.5 points (-112)
Anthony Edwards has taken his scoring to the next level, and his offensive prowess will be on full display tonight. Ant-Man is averaging 27.2 points per game at home and 31.8 on the road. He’s scored 30+ in 31 of 56 games, including 19 of 27 away games.
Edwards dropped 32 in his first meeting with the Golden State Warriors, and he should have no problem getting 30 again. The Warriors lack size and physicality to throw at Edwards, and with Moses Moody out and De’Anthony Melton banged up, he could find some breathing room on the perimeter.
Timberwolves vs Warriors same-game parlay
Neither team has played great basketball as of late, but the Minnesota Timberwolves have a deeper bench and healthier roster than the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors are just 2-6 ATS as the home underdog, and I’ll take the visiting team and the points.
The Dubs have hit the Over in 21 of 33 games at home, and the Wolves have gone Over in 20 of 32 on the road. Minnesota ranks ninth in pace, and Golden State ranks 16th. This matchup should feature plenty of shots, and I’ll take the Over on a total line that’s set advantageously low.
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Timberwolves vs Warriors SGP
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Anthony Edwards Over 29.5 points
Our “from downtown” SGP: Randle Stays Hot!
Julius Randle dropped 41 points in his last game before the All-Star break, but he’s gone ice-cold in 10 games after the break. In that span, Randle has averaged 14.1 points and 0.5 triples while shooting 39.3% from the floor and 16.1% from beyond the arc.
The Warriors can play slump-buster tonight as Randle gets back on track against a depleted lineup without the size or perimeter defenders to slow him down. Prior to the break, Randle appeared in 27 road games, where he posted 18+ points in 21 appearances and multiple treys in 14.
Timberwolves vs Warriors SGP
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Anthony Edwards Over 29.5 points
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Julius Randle Over 17.5 points
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Julius Randle Over 1.5 made threes
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Timberwolves vs Warriors odds
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Spread: Timberwolves -5.5 (-110) | Warriors +5.5 (-110)
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Moneyline: Timberwolves -225 | Warriors +185
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Over/Under: Over 224 (-110) | Under 224 (-110)
Timberwolves vs Warriors betting trend to know
The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Timberwolves vs. Warriors.
How to watch Timberwolves vs Warriors
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Location |
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA |
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Date |
Friday, March 13, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
10:00 p.m. ET |
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TV |
Prime |
Timberwolves vs Warriors latest injuries
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