Stefon Diggs and the New England Patriots face the Seattle Seahawks in today’s Super Bowl LX in Santa Clara, California.

The four‑time Pro Bowler has been New England’s top wide receiver, but he’ll face an elite Seahawks defense that ranks among the league’s best at limiting top targets this season.

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I dig into the Stefon Diggs odds and bring you my best Super Bowl predictions for Sunday, February 8.

Stefon Diggs best bet for Super Bowl LX

Stefon Diggs Under 45.5 receiving yards (-110)

Stefon Diggs led the New England Patriots with 1,013 receiving yards during the regular season. However, his production has been wildly inconsistent from week to week, and the Seattle Seahawks boast the best DVOA in the league against No. 1 wide receivers.

The Patriots’ star has totaled fewer than 45 receiving yards in his last four games. That includes playoff contests against the Chargers and Broncos, where he finished with just 16 and 17 yards, respectively.

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Diggs ranks 10th among NFL wide receivers in receiving grade against man coverage (88.2) per Pro Football Focus. However, that grade drops to 75.4 versus zone coverage, and Seattle deploys zone at the fourth-highest rate in the league.

Stefon Diggs Super Bowl same-game parlay

The non-correlated multiplier of taking the Under on Diggs’ receiving yards while playing the Over on Drake Maye’s passing yards is hard to ignore.

The Patriots pivot spreads the ball well, and Sunday should bring the best passing weather Maye has seen in two months. With New England listed as 4.5-point underdogs, he could face a negative game script.

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While Maye likely won’t have much success targeting Diggs, Hunter Henry has totaled 45+ receiving yards in six of his last nine games and should exploit a Seahawks defense that’s been vulnerable to tight ends.

Stefon Diggs Super Bowl SGP

  • Stefon Diggs Under 45.5 receiving yards

  • Drake Maye Over 223.5 passing yards

  • Hunter Henry Over 39.5 receiving yards

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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here

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