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The Cleveland Cavaliers will look to get closer to clinching a top-four playoff seed as they host the Indiana Pacers tonight.

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Cleveland and Indiana have both been playing to big scores in recent games, and I’m taking the Over to hit again tonight in my Pacers vs. Cavaliers predictions below.

Let’s look at the full breakdown of tonight’s matchup as I share my free NBA picks for Sunday, April 5.

Pacers vs Cavaliers prediction

Pacers vs Cavaliers best bet: Over 239 (-110)

The Indiana Pacers have been bad at just about everything this season, but their biggest failures have come on defense. Indiana is allowing 120.8 points per game with a defensive efficiency of 116.2, both of which rank among the Bottom 5 in the NBA.

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That already had Indiana leaning toward the Over, but the Pacers have added to that trend by finding some offensive spark in recent weeks. Over their last eight games, they are averaging 124.6 PPG, a total that would make them the league’s best offensive team if they had maintained that level all year.

A Top-10 pace means both Indiana and its opponents have plenty of possessions, resulting in frequent Overs.

At 119.3 PPG, the Cleveland Cavaliers have one of the most prolific offenses in the NBA. They’re shooting 48% from the field and will likely do even better against the Pacers, who are allowing opponents to hit 49.1% of their shots. Donovan Mitchell (27.7 PPG) and James Harden (20.2 PPG) have this offense humming, with Cleveland hitting the Over in three of its last four games.

These trends are all likely to continue tonight. The Pacers may suffer a bit with the loss of Pascal Siakam, but that’s going to hurt them on both sides of the ball, meaning Cleveland’s offense can pick up any slack if Indiana struggles.

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I’m expecting a fast-paced game that will bring home the Over.

Pacers vs Cavaliers same-game parlay

Along with taking the Over tonight, I’ll be looking at Cleveland’s Max Strus to continue his recent run of strong play for our parlay. Strus has averaged 18.8 PPG and five made threes over his last four games. Given the expectation of a high-scoring game — and the likelihood that the Cavaliers will be on the winning side — Strus has every opportunity to hit the Over on both his points and threes made props tonight.

Pacers vs Cavaliers SGP

  • Max Strus Over 3.5 made threes

Our “from downtown” SGP: Cleveland rocks

For our long-shot SGP tonight, I’m going to look at a few different Cleveland props that will come together in this game.

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That starts with taking James Harden to pick up his 21st double-double of the season. I also like Dennis Schroder to hit his assists total, as he’s averaging 4.8 assists per game on the year and dished out six against the Golden State Warriors on Thursday.

Finally, let’s back Donovan Mitchell to get Over 4.5 rebounds, a total that’s right at his season average (4.5) and should be boosted against an Indiana team that ranks second-last in the NBA in rebound rate.

Pacers vs Cavaliers SGP

  • James Harden double-double

  • Dennis Schroder Over 3.5 assists

  • Donovan Mitchell Over 4.5 rebounds

Pacers vs Cavaliers odds

  • Spread: Pacers +15.5 (-110) | Cavaliers -15.5 (-110)

  • Moneyline: Pacers +900 | Cavaliers -1600

  • Over/Under: Over 239 (-110) | Under 239 (-110)

Pacers vs Cavaliers betting trend to know

The Over is 9-1 in Indiana’s last 10 games overall. Find more NBA betting trends for Pacers vs. Cavaliers.

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How to watch Pacers vs Cavaliers

Location

Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH

Date

Sunday, April 5, 2026

Tip-off

6:00 p.m. ET

TV

FDSN Indiana, FDSN Ohio

Pacers vs Cavaliers latest injuries

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