MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Saturday, April 4

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It’s a full Saturday of MLB action today, but my MLB home run predictions see value in two players from the same game, as the Nationals and Dodgers have both good matchups… and good hitting conditions.

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See why my MLB player props for April 4 are keying in on CJ Abrams and Teoscar Hernandez from that game, as well as the electric Elly De La Cruz — and a nearly 200/1 parlay for all three to go yard!

• UPDATE: Added Elly De La Cruz HR pick + parlay.

Best MLB home run props today

CJ Abrams (+560)

CJ Abrams is off to a strong start this season, hitting .269 with an increase in his hard-hit rate. The Nationals’ shortstop has gone deep in back-to-back contests and is seeing the ball well, with six hits in his last four games.

He’ll face flamethrower Tyler Glasnow today, but Abrams is hitting .429 against fastballs early in the season (after hitting .292 against the heater last year), and he has gone yard off Glasnow already in his career.

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We also get a boost from the weather, as the wind is expected to be blowing 10 mph straight out to center field.

• Where to watch: NATS, SNLA

Teoscar Hernandez (+450)

I’m sticking with the same game but shifting over to the Dodgers, as Teoscar Hernandez has long been an elite power hitter, but has yet to hit a dinger in 2026.

His issue has been an absurd 69% ground-ball rate (and a 6.3% fly-ball rate that’s well below his 28.1% career average), but the veteran is still hitting .320 on the year and has a great get-right matchup in facing Jake Irvin.

The Nats righty surrendered an MLB-worst 38 home runs last year, and started his 2026 campaign by allowing two dingers to the Cubs — including a 58% hard-hit rate and 33.3% FB rate.

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Teo is also 4-for-13 off Irvin in his career, with a pair of long balls.

• Where to watch: NATS, SNLA

Elly De La Cruz (+600)

Elly De La Cruz is only hitting .214 so far, but his power has been on full display when he does make contact. The Cincinnati Reds star has six hits on the season, but three of them have left the yard — and he’s gone deep in two of his last three contests.

He and the Reds will face Kumar Rocker tonight, and while the young righty has electric stuff, he struggles with control… and coughing up homers: Rocker only made 14 starts last year, but allowed 11 dingers… and the wind at Globe Life Field is projected to be blowing out to left field at around 13 mph.

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• Where to watch: RSN, CINR

Quinn Allen’s 2026 Transparency Record

• HR picks: 3-9, +0.72 units

Today’s HR parlay

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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