The Atlanta Hawks take a trip down to South Beach tonight for a matchup with the Miami Heat at Kaseya Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker continues to thrive, and my Hawks vs. Heat predictions and NBA picks will focus on his ability to score the rock.

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Hawks vs Heat prediction

Hawks vs Heat best bet: Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 20.5 points (-110)

Nickeil Alexander-Walker is having a career year for the Atlanta Hawks. The guard is averaging 20.3 points per game while shooting 38% from downtown. To put his numbers into perspective, the Canadian averaged just 9.4 ppg for the Timberwolves last season.

A bigger role as a starter has allowed NAW to flourish. He’s cashed the Over in points in three of his last four games, scoring 21 points in each. Two of those contests were on the road, and as previously mentioned, the Hawks visit Miami this evening.

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In fact, Alexander-Walker is averaging 20.9 ppg on the road compared to 19.6 at home. The Virginia Tech product is playing with boatloads of confidence, and he’ll make his presence felt once again tonight.

Hawks vs Heat same-game parlay

Andrew Wiggins is averaging 15.6 ppg this season. He’s cashed the Over in two of his last three home games. He scored 18 against the Hawks earlier this season, and he’s averaging 16.1 ppg at home compared to 15.1 on the road.

Jalen Johnson is having a monster year for Atlanta, and he’s doing it all. While he’s not a high-volume shooter, Johnson is averaging 1.7 makes on 4.7 attempts for a 36% clip. Very respectable.

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He’s cashed the Over in five of his last seven appearances, and he’s drained three triples in back-to-back contests. Johnson is also shooting it even better on the road, averaging 1.8 makes for a 39.2% clip from deep.

Hawks vs Heat SGP

  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 20.5 points

  • Andrew Wiggins Over 15.5 points

  • Jalen Johnson Over 1.5 threes

Our “from downtown” SGP: Dimes for Dyson!

Dyson Daniels is on fire as a facilitator, cashing his assist Over in four straight games.

Hawks vs Heat SGP

  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 20.5 points

  • Andrew Wiggins Over 15.5 points

  • Jalen Johnson Over 1.5 threes

  • Dyson Daniels Over 6.5 assists

Hawks vs Heat odds

  • Spread: Hawks +3 | Heat -3

  • Moneyline: Hawks +135 | Heat -155

  • Over/Under: Over 240.5 | Under 240.5

Hawks vs Heat betting trend to know

The Hawks have covered the spread in 28 of their last 45 road games for +9.3 units and a 19% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Hawks vs. Heat.

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How to watch Hawks vs Heat

Location

Kaseya Center, Miami, FL

Date

Tuesday, February 3, 2026

Tip-off

7:30 p.m. ET

TV

FDSN Southeast-Atlanta, FDSN Sun

Hawks vs Heat latest injuries

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