Max Scherzer was exceptional and the Blue Jays’ offense exploded for the second straight game as Toronto won 8-3 last night and evened the Best of 7 American League Championship series against the Seattle Mariners at two games apiece.
The veteran Scherzer allowed two runs over 5.2 innings in his first appearance in almost a month. The Jays’ bats hit Luis Castillo and the Mariners’ bullpen hard, racking up 11 hits. After driving in a couple runs in Game 3, Andres Gimenez drove in four more last night to pace the Toronto attack that has now accounted for 29 hits and 21 runs the last two games.
Seattle turns to Bryce Miller today to try and turn the series back around while the Jays counter with Kevin Gausman.
Lets dive into the numbers and try to find an advantage or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch the first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details & how to watch Blue Jays at Mariners – ALCS Game 5
- Date: Friday, October 17, 2025
- Time: 6:08PM EST
- Site: T-Mobile Park
- City: Seattle, WA
- Network/Streaming: FS1
Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.
Odds for the Blue Jays at the Mariners – ALCS Game 5
The latest odds as of Friday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Moneyline: Toronto Blue Jays (-115), Seattle Mariners (-105)
- Spread: Blue Jays -1.5 (+152)
- Total: 7.0 runs
Probable starting pitchers for Blue Jays at Mariners – ALCS Game 5
- Pitching matchup for October 17, 2025: Kevin Gausman vs. Bryce Miller
- Blue Jays: Kevin Gausman (10-11, 3.59 ERA)
Last outing: 10/12 vs. Seattle – 5.2IP, 2ER, 3H, 1 BB, 5Ks
Gausman has struck out 5 or more in 8 of his last 9 starts - Mariners: Bryce Miller (4-6, 5.68 ERA)
Last outing: 10/12 at Toronto – 6IP, 1ER, 2H, 3BB, 3Ks
Miller has not struck out more than 4 in any of his last 5 starts
- Blue Jays: Kevin Gausman (10-11, 3.59 ERA)
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Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Blue Jays at Mariners
- Cal Raleigh is 8-17 (.471) with 4 HRs against Kevin Gausman in his career
- Eugenio Suarez has struck out 8 times in 24 career ABs against Gausman
- Toronto as a team is hitting .204 against Bryce Miller
- George Springer is 2-9 (.222) with both hits being HRs in his career against Miller
If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s Game 5 between the Blue Jays and the Mariners
Rotoworld Best Bet
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Friday’s game between the Blue Jays and the Mariners:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Seattle Mariners at +1.5.
- Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 7.0.
Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC Sports.
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
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