Celtics vs Warriors Computer Picks: Our Best Player Prop Projections for February 19

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Our NBA player prop projections are back for Wednesday’s showdown, and the model has circled a few player props worth your attention.

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We ran the numbers, compared projections to the posted lines, and found the spots where there’s actual breathing room.

In these Celtics vs. Warriors predictions, we’re not guessing — we’re leaning on data.

If you’re building out your card, these are the NBA picks the system says have value on February 19.

Celtics vs Warriors computer picks for February 19

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Celtics computer picks

Neemias Queta Over 6.5 points (-105)

Projection: 8.5 points

Neemias Queta doesn’t need plays drawn up for him; he scores off effort. Dump-offs, put-backs, and rim runs add up fast if he sees mid-20s minutes. The projection has him comfortably clearing this, and 6.5 is still a role-player number, not a featured-minutes number.

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Payton Pritchard Over 3.5 rebounds (-125)

Projection: 4.5 rebounds

Payton Pritchard crashes hard for a guard and benefits from long rebounds off perimeter-heavy games. He plays enough minutes and stays active enough to clear four more often than not. The projection gives him a full-board cushion over this line.

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Jaylen Brown Over 4.5 assists (+122)

Projection: 4.7 assists

Jaylen Brown is averaging 4.7 assists per game, which already clears this number. You’re getting plus money on a line that sits below his season average. With the ball in his hands consistently and his usage steady, this is asking him to simply be himself — not have a spike game.

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Warriors computer picks

Draymond Green Over 8.5 points (-105)

Projection: 9.5 points

Draymond Green doesn’t need volume to clear this number. Between transition buckets, short-roll finishes, and the occasional open three, he usually stumbles into double digits when the minutes are there. This line is modest, and the projection gives him a full point of cushion.

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Kristaps Porzingis Over 12.5 points (-105)

Projection: 14.0 points

When Kristaps Porzingis is healthy and involved, 13 points is a low bar. He can get there with a few post touches, pick-and-pop looks, and trips to the line. The projection leans comfortably Over, and this number hasn’t fully adjusted to his scoring role.

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Gui Santos Under 5.5 rebounds (-112)

Projection: 4.8 rebounds

Gui Santos would need above-average minutes or an outlier rebounding game to get to six. His role fluctuates, and he’s not a primary glass-crasher when the regular rotation is intact. The projection keeps him safely below this number.

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