The 2025 college football season kicks off in less than two months, with the 2025 College Football Classic between Iowa State and Kansas State in Ireland scheduled for Saturday, August 23. Rosters for the upcoming season are now almost entirely set, and sportsbooks around the country have started taking action futures for the 2025 college football season. One team that has been a popular pick to win the national championship this year is the Texas Longhorns. In their first season with Arch Manning as the team’s full-time starter, the Longhorns have a regular season win total projection of 9.5 wins and are listed at +550 to win the national title. Should you back Texas when making over/under win total picks for the 2025 college football season?
SportsLine expert handicapper Jimmie Kaylor has broken down the latest betting trends and college football futures odds and locked in his top over/under win total picks. Before locking in any college football futures bets, you’ll want to see what Kaylor has to say. New users can also take advantage of the BetMGM promo code offering up to $1,500 in bonus bets if their first bet loses.
Kaylor has posted a 235-152-7 record since Week 1 of the 2023 season, bringing his net profit up to a whopping 112.82 units ($11,282 for a $100 bettor) since joining SportsLine as a college football expert.
Here are Kaylor’s top three college football win total picks for SEC teams in 2025:
- Texas over 9.5 wins (-170)
- LSU over 8.5 wins (-135)
- Alabama under 9.5 wins (-105)
Texas over 9.5 wins (-170 at DraftKings)
The Longhorns will enter the 2025 season ranked as one of the top teams in the country, and will have one of the most hyped quarterbacks in college football history under center in redshirt sophomore Arch Manning. Manning will be replacing one of the most prolific quarterbacks in program history (Quinn Ewers), but his running ability adds a dimension to the Texas offense that was missing during the Ewers era. When I broke down Texas’ 2025 schedule, I conservatively came up with 10 wins. If the Horns stay healthy, however, this could easily be an 11 or 12 win regular season team. Use a DraftKings promo code to get more bang for your buck if you are backing the Longhorns to go Over.
LSU over 8.5 wins (-135 at FanDuel)
The Tigers return a highly productive player at the most important position on the field in redshirt junior Garrett Nussmeier. LSU also hit the transfer portal hard, adding several players that should make an immediate impact in Baton Rouge. When I broke down the Tigers’ schedule I came up with nine confident wins, and ultimately believe they’ll have a double-digit win total this fall. New users can use a FanDuel promo code to get even more value.
Alabama under 9.5 wins (-105 at DraftKings)
As usual, Alabama has NFL-caliber talent all over its roster. That said, the Tide will be replacing quarterback Jalen Milroe, so I expect there to be some growing pains for Alabama on the offensive side of the ball. If things go perfectly for head coach Kalen DeBoer in Year 2, Alabama will win 10 or 11 games. If not, this will likely be an eight or nine-win season for the Tide.
Looking for more football picks?
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